Conspiracy Debunked
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A video which debunks the claims that the hacked CRU emails give evidence that claims of anthropogenic global warming are just a global conspiracy. Worth a watch.

Training Roundup, Week Ending Nov. 29th

Training has been progressing nicely over the last couple of weeks. Above is a graph of my weekly cycling hours since September and I’m pretty happy with the results. I’ve been consistently above about 4.5hrs for the last few weeks and am feeling good on the bike, ready to step things up a notch in December.

I went down to Canberra at the weekend to visit John and brought my bike, intending to do a ride in the hills on Saturday morning. I had a couple of Guinness on Friday evening, but was still home at a reasonable hour, so made it out on the bike at 6:30am. Unfortunately, on the climb out of Coppins Crossing, a short pitch of about 8%, I felt terrible. My HR was through the roof, I felt exhausted and knew instantly that there was no way I was doing the planned 80km hilly ride.

I thought that maybe having beers the night before was the problem and was a bit pissed off that I’d wasted the opportunity for a hilly ride, but it wasn’t until I got back up to Sydney yesterday that I remembered that I’d donated blood on Thursday evening! No wonder I was wrecked, I was missing 10% of my blood, meaning there was 10% less red blood cells to carry oxygen to my muscles. Blood doping in reverse! So, that’s the reason for my paltry 2:41 this week!

My weight has stabilised at a little under 88kg, down from just over 93kg in September. I’m off any diet for the moment, and the plan is to keep my weight at this level until January, then to drop another couple of kilos to get me into the low 80s. I’ve committed to Alpine cycling in June, and the less there is of me, the easier it will be to get up climbs like Alpe d’Huez:

The target is to get to around 80kg or under by June, which shouldn’t be too hard to do if I can stay motivated to keep my cycling hours up for the next six months.

Totals

Nov.29: R 0:20 - C 2:41 - W 0:00
Nov.22: R 0:00 - C 5:05 - W 0:00
Nov.15: R 0:23 - C 4:40 - W 0:00

Training Roundup, Week ending Nov. 8th

Well this week ended up being pretty easy. I had great intentions at the start of the week, but never got into it really, and decided pretty quickly to make it a rest week.

I would like to have a 3:1 ratio between training weeks and rest weeks, but I seem to lose motivation heading into the third consecutive training week, so I think I’ll stick to 2:1 for the moment until I learn to absorb the training better.

My long ride was still scheduled for Saturday, but a friend’s birthday on Friday put paid to that so I headed out this morning instead. I had a 90km route planned, heading down to Kurnell and back, and was on the road at about 6:15am. It’s great at that hour as the roads are super quiet.

I’m not going to bother going into the details of the ride, but it went well. I made it to Kurnell quite comfortably, grabbed a coffee and some banana bread, then returned home. I was feeling good towards the end of the ride, so detoured into Centennial Park and did a few extra laps to take my total up to 100km. I’d never ridden 100km before, so I figured that I may as well go for it this morning as the extra 10km was no big deal. The good news was that my arse gave out before my legs did - I’m still getting used to spending four hours sitting on a race bike saddle!

So, total distance ended up as 100.3km, in 4h 11m (incl. coffee stop, stopping at red lights etc.), average speed of 27.7km/h (excl. time stopped) and a total of 2548kcal burnt before breakfast. I had to spend a couple of hours on the couch recovering though!

Totals

R 00:00 - C 4:11:00 - W 00:00

Weight: -0.1kg

Training, Week Ending Nov. 1st

Had a decent week this week. Didn’t get everything I had planned done, due to crappy weather on Monday and a hangover on Thursday, but still managed to get some decent cycling in over the weekend. 30-odd km around Centennial Park on Friday was followed by Saturday’s long ride (see map above), then the TT on Sunday.

The long ride is going well, though I thought the route I had planned would be over 70km. Hopefully I can get a 100km+ ride in by the end of the month and can also get some hilly rides in. I might head down to visit John in Canberra later in the month and ride the Canberra HIM bike course which is a hilly 90km.

Totals

R 1:05:55 - C 5:08:18 - W 1:00:00

Weight: -1.2kg

Calga TT
![Calga HR Graph](/images/calga.nov.jpg)

Yesterday morning I headed up to Peats Ridge to try my hand at a 25km cycling time trial. The Australia Time Trial Association (ATTA) holds a 43km and a 25km TT on a public road course on the first Sunday of every month. I had intended going up last month, but got sick so had to pull the pin.

The setup is very informal, but professional at the same time. There are no medals, no fanfare, just a couple of guys who have measured out the courses, put up warning signs so motorists are aware there’s lots of bikes around, and set up electronic timing. Registration starts at 7:30am and you can choose your start time. Riders go at one minute intervals, starting from 8:00am, with men, women, kids, those doing 25km and those doing 43km all interspersed. It’s a great way for people to test themselves every month on a fixed course, and as a result you get a lot of really fancy time-trial bikes, disc wheels and aero helmets on show.

I had no fancy gear, just a plain road bike, normal helmet and wheels, and I was due to start at 8:37am. I didn’t really know what to expect, other than there was a cone in the middle of the road at 12.5km marking my turn around point, and I’d been told not to go all out from the start, but to hod back a bit until the turnaround and then lay it all on the line on the way back. Given that I’d only been back on the bike for four weeks, with a two week break in the middle for a bout of illness, I was nowhere near fit enough to put the hammer down straight out of the gates, and was more interested in riding the course and getting a feel for things. In the back of my mind I wanted to average 30km/h if possible, and to ensure I didn’t finish last (the top guys average about 44km/h!)

I presented to the start a couple of minutes before my alloted time, and was pleased to see that the start was inside a trailer, with a guy to hold your bike steady and a ramp down on to the course, just like an ITT stage of the Tour de France. The guy in front of me headed off and promptly stopped 300m down the road with what looked like a puncture, so I was on the lookout for glass straight away. I got the 5 second countdown and then I was off. Out of the gate, accelerate up to speed, oops, shit forgot to start my stopwatch, shit! is my HR really 160, that’s too fast this early, slow down!

Looking at the elevation map during the week had shown that the course was very slightly uphill to the turnaround, and (obviously) very slightly downhill on the return, but once out on the bike it wasn’t nearly as uniform as that. It’s a fairly undulating course, which makes it hard to get into a rhythm; one minute you’re flying downhill only to then have to shift down through the gears as you hit an uphill bit and your speed starts to drop. Gravity giveth, and gravity taketh away.

The rider who’d left a minute behind me caught me after a couple of km and went flying by, followed a few km later by the guy who’d left two km behind me. I was expecting this, so it wasn’t too much of an issue, but I also knew that Matt, a mate from my triathlon forum, was starting 5 minutes behind me, and although he’d been to a few of these, I was secretly hoping I could stay ahead of him to the finish. A moment of poor mental arithmetic had me wondering if I’d missed the turnaround, until I corrected my error and realised I’d only done 11km, not 12km. Two more riders had passed me well before I hit the turn, so I knew Matt was next.

I made the turn in 28:40 which was a lot slower than expected, and was indicating a total time up around 55 minutes, so I was a bit disappointed. I ramped up the speed on a bit of a downhill and saw Matt about a kilometre behind me. Given he’d started five minutes behind me, my chances of holding him off looked slim. Thankfully, the return journey was slightly downhill and the undulations, while still there, were less severe on the way back, so it was easier to get in a big gear and keep the speed up. All was going well and the few times I checked I couldn’t see Matt behind me, then I hit The Wall (see the green line on the graph at 41:00).

You’re flying along on a slight downhill, topping 60km/h, round a slight bend and then you see it two hundred metres ahead. It seems like an easy uphill, but when you hit it, your speed drops right off, you drop down to your lowest gear and your heart rate goes through the roof. I reached the bottom of the climb doing about 61km/h and 30 seconds later was doing 13.5km/h. It’s bloody annoying, and as the hill goes up and around the corner, I wasn’t sure when it actually ended. I didn’t remember a long, steep hill on the way out??

Thankfully it was reasonably short, and at the top it was a three km run into the finish. Near the top of the hill I’d looked back and seen another rider a few hundred meters behind with Matt just behind him, so I put my head down and went for it. The other guy went past about a kilometre later and though Matt was definitely catching me, I didn’t think he’d get me before the finish. I kept the speed up, HR up around 180bpm, and, as I came around the last bend, I saw the cones marking the finishing line a few hundred metres ahead of me and realised I’d hold him off. One last burst and I crossed the line with the clock reading 1:26:34. I’d started 37 minutes after the gun, so my elapsed time was 49:34 for an average speed of 30.2km/h at an average heart rate of 167bpm. I was happy with that. I’ve got another four weeks of training to see if I can beat that time next month.

After watching a few triathlon mates finish their races, it was off to Pie In The Sky for a well earned coffee, and a pie of course!

Training, Week Ending Oct. 25th

It’s been a pretty good week this week. I got back into exercise properly after a couple of useless weeks and managed to do almost all the sessions I wanted to. I missed one weights session and one run, but made the rest. This morning’s ride went well too; to La Perouse, then ‘round the back of the airport (to avoid the airport tunnel), then down to Brighton-le-sands and on to Sans Souci, before turning for home. 64km all up and I felt pretty good at the finish.

I refuelled with danish pastries and biscuits, which Jacqui thought was a waste of all the exercise, but, as I pointed out, if you can’t eat some junk food after having burnt 2100kcal before breakfast, when can you?

Totals

R 40:52 - C 6:05:19 - W 1:00:00

Weight: down 1.2kg

Why Microsoft Is Irrelevant

Fake Steve Jobs (really Dan Lyons from Newsweek) has an excellent blog entry detailing why Microsoft is no longer relevant as a player in the IT industry. The piece is in response to a New York Times article (rego required: see Bug Me Not for fake rego details) on Microsoft, which damned with faint praise.

Larry’s like, Look, the Borg has never been out ahead on anything. The difference is, they used to be able to catch up. They’ve always been copiers. That’s been their business model from the start. Let others go out and create a market, then copy what they’ve done, sell it for less, and crush them. They got into the OS business by stealing DOS from someone else. They created Windows by stealing Apple’s ideas. They got into desktop apps by copying Lotus and WordPerfect and then having the bright idea to bundle all the stuff into one cheapo suite. They pulled the trick off again with Internet Explorer versus Netscape, in the late 90s – that was the last time they were able to let someone get out ahead of them and then pivot and copy and give it away free and take them over. By the end of the 90s they had broken through 50% market share in browsers, and that was it for Netscape.

But what happened after that? This is what we were wondering. Larry says two things happened. One, the Borg got slower. They got big and fat and bureaucratic. Two, everyone else got faster. Look at Google. They got so big so quickly that there was no way for the Borg to claw them back. Same for all these other Web businesses. Amazon, Ebay, Skype, Facebook, Twitter. They came out of nowhere, and what they were doing was free, so the Borg couldn’t just do a crappy knockoff and sell it for less. They were up against free – the Web companies were using their own strategy against them.

Another difference was the customer set. In the old days you were talking about selling to corporate America, and consumers just followed suit – remember the marketing shit about how you want the same stuff at home that you have at the office? Selling to corporates was easy. You have lots of levers you can pull to make them do what you want and pay what you tell them to. We all had a playbook – we just studied what IBM had been doing for decades, and we copied them. (Larry stopped and chuckled a little bit when he said this, and for a moment just stared out the window with this glazed, happy expression on his face.) The Borg’s other customer set were hardware OEMs. Again, easy to coerce, and no messy dealing with end users. Perfect.

But on the Web things changed – now you were selling to consumers, and the Borg had no way to coerce or control consumers the way they could coerce corporate accounts.

Illness

Well, the cold that I mentioned previously did in fact materialise and knocked me out of action for over a week, just as I was getting back into regular exercise. It also meant that I missed out on doing my first TT at the beginning of October - very annoying!

After two whole weeks without any exercise, I started cycling a little last week, and this week is my first back into it properly. I had a bike ride and a run yesterday, and will head off to the gym at lunchtime today.

Totals:

  • Oct-4: R 00:00 - B 00:00 - W 00:00
  • Oct-11: R 00:00 - B 00:00 - W 00:00
  • Oct-18: R 00:00 - B 1:35:19 - W 30:00

Weight: down 0.6kg

Stu & Helen's Wedding

Last Saturday saw us dressed in our finery to witness the marriage of our friends, Stu & Helen. After a week of crappy weather, there was some concern that we’d have to move indoors, but Saturday morning dawned, the rain was absent and clear, blue skies remained. Everything went ahead as planned and a great day was had by all.

Photos are here.

Training

Now that the weather’s improving, the morning’s are warmer and I’ve got all the bits and pieces I wanted for my new bike, I’ve kicked off spring’s exercise program. I started properly two weeks ago, getting out on the bike a lot more and also starting to do a little running.

If we do decide to head over for Sean’s wedding next year, I would like to do some cycling in the Alps. I haven’t decided where, or which of the famous cols I’d like to climb, but at the moment that’s immaterial. If I’m to climb something like the Col du Galibier, for example, which is 18km at an average gradient of 6.9%, then I’d be looking at probably over an hour and a half of constant uphill effort, which I’m nowhere near fit enough for, and at 90kg, nowhere near light enough for.

Therefore, I’ve resolved to get out cycling regularly and make that the main focus of my training programme. An ideal week at this stage is two, one hour weights sessions, three runs of approximately 30mins each, and four bike rides. Three rides of approximately one hour, and one long ride at the weekend. Two weeks in and it’s going OK. I still haven’t managed a perfect week, but I’m getting most sessions done, though the dust storms which hit Sydney this week coincided with two of my bike rides, the first on Wednesday and the second on Saturday, which was a pain in the arse.

Next weekend I plan on heading out to Calga to have a go at the Australian Time Trials Association’s (ATTA) 25km TT which they run every month. I figure if I do the same TT each month it will be a useful guideline as to whether I’m getting any better or not. Should be fun, though hopefully this cold and sniffles that’s materialised this afternoon doesn’t develop any further!

Totals: Sep-20: R 40:46 - B 4:32:00 - W 1:00:00 Sep-27: R 29:43 - B 4:23:08